Taro Daniel vs Alex Rybakov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In assessing the second serve performance over the past six months, there emerges a notable statistical edge for Rybakov, who has secured 47.72% of points on his second serve compared to Daniel's 44.09%. This discrepancy in performance can significantly impact match predictions, where second serve proficiency is crucial.

When it comes to return game effectiveness, Rybakov exhibits an advantageous position by winning 45.97% of opponent's second serve points, while Daniel lags behind at 41.13%. For first serve returns, Rybakov again leads with 27.39% against Daniel’s 21.65%. The impact of these statistics is substantial in determining the favorite for this head-to-head clash.

Analyzing their performance under pressure, Daniel demonstrates a slight advantage by saving 57.39% of breakpoints, surpassing Rybakov’s rate of 55.12%. However, over the last year, Rybakov's overall win percentage of 59.09% (W/L 26/18) presents a more commanding picture compared to Daniel's 44.83% (W/L 26/32), offering a broader perspective on their head-to-head potential.

Both players boast their best career surface win percentages on clay, with Rybakov at 62% (W/L 155/94) and Daniel at 60% (W/L 304/202). Conversely, they exhibit their lowest win rates on grass, with Rybakov at 50% (W/L 1/1) and Daniel at 32% (W/L 7/15). This reflects the inclination towards surface preferences that might influence their tactics in their next encounter.

In the realm of Challenger/ITF tournaments, Daniel exhibits a higher winning rate of 66.67% (W/L 14/7) over the last year compared to Rybakov's 62.07% (W/L 18/11). The level of competition each player faces is significant, as Daniel has consistently competed against opponents with a higher average ranking of 161.34, as opposed to Rybakov's 440.98, indicating a more challenging competitive landscape.

The players have clashed once before at the Citi Open in Washington, with Daniel clinching victory in straight sets, 6-3, 6-4. Although past encounters indicate Daniel’s slight upper hand, the average match time between them has been 1:18:12, pointing to relatively balanced contests.

While they have not played any deciding sets against each other, Rybakov possesses a better deciding set win percentage of 53% compared to Daniel’s 43% over the past year. This performance metric could become pivotal in the event of a close match that extends to a deciding set.

Notably, Rybakov outperforms Daniel in breakpoint conversion rates, having converted 31.09% of opportunities recently, compared to Daniel’s 26.89%. This statistic serves as a significant indicator for in-game predictions during critical breakpoint situations.

Given these comprehensive analyses of their capabilities and prior performances, Rybakov appears to have a slight edge owing to his superior second serve reliability and breakpoint conversion rates. If the match hinges on critical points, these factors could very well dictate the outcome. Therefore, based on the statistics and current form, Rybakov is favored to emerge victorious in the upcoming tennis match.